Copa Do Brasil U20 Etapas Finales Last 16
Global 2-0
Vasco da Gama U17 vs Flamengo U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
46.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
CEC
0 - 4
VAS
9%
14%
78%
|
47 | 8 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 2
GRE
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
VAS
29%
24%
46%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
CRU
3 - 5
VAS
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
VAS
2 - 0
FLA
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Flamengo U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
FLA
8 - 1
ARA
90%
8%
3%
|
52 | 7 | 45 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 2
FOR
90%
8%
2%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
VAS
2 - 0
FLA
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
AME
2 - 0
FLA
8%
16%
76%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
FLA
3 - 2
ATL
84%
11%
5%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | +1 |