Copa Do Brasil U20 Semi-finals
Global 5-0
Vasco da Gama U17 vs Bahia U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 2
VAS
15%
18%
67%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 1
VAS
49%
22%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLU
34%
22%
44%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
INT
1 - 3
VAS
13%
18%
70%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
VAS
4 - 0
INT
78%
14%
9%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Bahia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 2
VAS
15%
18%
67%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
BAH
24%
20%
56%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
BAH
3 - 0
FOR
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
LON
2 - 1
BAH
9%
14%
77%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
BAH
3 - 0
LON
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |