Vasalunds IF vs Karlberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
8º
6º
19
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 65 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
1º
|
39 | 64 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 58 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 47 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 46 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 44 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 42 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 40 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 38 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 37 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 32 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 24 |
15º
|
38% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 21 |
16º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 77% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 13% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasalunds IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VAS
3 - 0
ENS
74%
16%
11%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GEF
3 - 0
VAS
49%
23%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VAS
4 - 3
IFS
59%
20%
22%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VAS
1 - 2
STO
46%
23%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
VAS
68%
17%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Karlberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
KAL
0 - 3
IFS
39%
22%
39%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ASS
4 - 1
KAL
57%
21%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
AIK
1 - 1
KAL
76%
17%
7%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
TAB
4 - 0
KAL
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
KAL
9 - 0
HTF
42%
23%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |