Varzim vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
22.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1983 |
RIO
2 - 1
VAR
61%
23%
15%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
BOA
2 - 0
VAR
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
VAR
0 - 1
FCP
23%
28%
50%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
ESP
1 - 0
VAR
48%
29%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
VAR
3 - 2
MAR
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1983 |
VST
2 - 1
BOA
47%
29%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
ESP
2 - 1
VST
45%
29%
26%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
VST
2 - 1
SPB
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
SCP
1 - 0
VST
77%
16%
8%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
VST
1 - 0
POR
47%
29%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |