Varzim vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
SLB
6 - 2
VAR
91%
6%
3%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
VAR
1 - 0
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
FCP
3 - 1
VAR
79%
13%
8%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
SPB
1 - 1
VAR
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1967 |
VAR
1 - 3
ACA
39%
25%
37%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
VST
0 - 0
LEX
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
VIT
1 - 1
VST
65%
20%
16%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
VST
5 - 1
BMA
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
VST
1 - 0
BEL
63%
22%
16%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1967 |
FAB
1 - 0
VST
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |