Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
FCP
7 - 0
VAR
79%
15%
7%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
GFC
2 - 1
VAR
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 1
BOA
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
BEL
4 - 1
VAR
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 1
SCP
16%
21%
63%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 4
PAÇ
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 1
VIT
36%
27%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 0
ACA
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
FCP
2 - 1
VIT
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 0
VST
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |