Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1980 |
BMA
2 - 2
VAR
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
VAR
0 - 0
FCP
20%
28%
53%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
RIO
3 - 2
VAR
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
VAR
1 - 2
SLB
22%
27%
51%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
VAR
3 - 1
VST
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1980 |
VIT
0 - 1
SCP
24%
28%
48%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
BEL
1 - 4
VIT
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
VIT
3 - 0
EST
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
UDL
1 - 4
VIT
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIT
43%
28%
30%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |