Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1978 |
BEL
1 - 0
VAR
59%
25%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 2
SCP
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
RIO
0 - 0
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 0
FEI
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
FCP
5 - 1
VAR
87%
9%
4%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1978 |
VIT
0 - 1
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
VIT
1 - 0
BEL
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1978 |
SCP
2 - 2
VIT
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
VIT
0 - 0
RIO
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
FEI
0 - 1
VIT
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |