Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1970 |
BOA
1 - 1
VAR
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 1
SCP
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
FAB
2 - 0
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
VAR
2 - 1
ACA
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
VAR
1 - 0
FAR
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1970 |
VIT
2 - 1
HIB
34%
22%
45%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
VIT
2 - 3
VST
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
LEX
0 - 0
VIT
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
HIB
2 - 0
VIT
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
VIT
0 - 0
SLB
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |