Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
41.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
VAR
2 - 1
SPB
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
FCP
3 - 0
VAR
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
VAR
1 - 2
SCP
18%
26%
57%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
ACA
5 - 0
VAR
81%
13%
7%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
VAR
0 - 0
SAN
61%
22%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
VIT
2 - 1
FCP
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
SCP
2 - 1
VIT
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
VIT
2 - 0
ACA
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
SAN
0 - 0
VIT
34%
24%
42%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
VIT
2 - 3
FAB
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |