Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 0
FCP
22%
22%
55%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
FAB
0 - 2
VAR
64%
20%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 2
ACA
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
BEL
3 - 1
VAR
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 1
VST
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
VIT
3 - 2
SLB
27%
22%
52%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
FCP
3 - 0
VIT
64%
20%
17%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
VIT
0 - 1
LEX
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
FAB
2 - 2
VIT
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
VIT
3 - 2
FCB
82%
12%
6%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |