Varzim vs Vitória SC B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
5º
5º
12
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
VAR
18%
27%
55%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 1
MON
75%
19%
7%
|
59 | 29 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
SCP
4%
14%
82%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
VAR
21%
28%
51%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
FEI
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória SC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VSC
1 - 2
FAF
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 1
VSC
42%
24%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VSC
2 - 2
BRA
32%
25%
44%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
VSC
29%
22%
49%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
VSC
0 - 1
PAR
40%
28%
33%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |