Varzim vs Vilaverdense FC analysis

Varzim Vilaverdense FC
54 ELO 38
-16.3% Tilt -11.9%
4635º General ELO ranking 4207º
70º Country ELO ranking 65º
ELO win probability
69.2%
Varzim
20.3%
Draw
10.5%
Vilaverdense FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
Varzim
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
10.5%
Win probability
Vilaverdense FC
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Varzim
-8%
-4%
Vilaverdense FC

ELO progression

Varzim
Vilaverdense FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Varzim
Varzim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2013
FAM
Famalicão
2 - 2
Varzim
VAR
47%
26%
27%
55 51 4 0
07 Apr. 2013
VAR
Varzim
0 - 1
Joane
JOA
72%
19%
10%
55 34 21 0
30 Mar. 2013
GON
Gondomar
1 - 2
Varzim
VAR
30%
30%
40%
55 49 6 0
24 Mar. 2013
VAR
Varzim
1 - 1
Boavista
BOA
57%
25%
18%
55 48 7 0
17 Mar. 2013
AMA
Amarante
0 - 2
Varzim
VAR
29%
28%
44%
55 42 13 0

Matches

Vilaverdense FC
Vilaverdense FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2013
VIL
Vilaverdense FC
1 - 1
Tirsense
TIR
21%
25%
54%
37 53 16 0
07 Apr. 2013
INF
Infesta
3 - 0
Vilaverdense FC
VIL
32%
24%
44%
40 30 10 -3
30 Mar. 2013
VIL
Vilaverdense FC
3 - 0
Fafe
FAF
23%
25%
52%
38 51 13 +2
24 Mar. 2013
RIB
Ribeirão
2 - 0
Vilaverdense FC
VIL
68%
19%
13%
38 50 12 0
17 Mar. 2013
VIL
Vilaverdense FC
1 - 1
Os Limianos
OSL
29%
26%
44%
38 47 9 0
X