Varzim vs Vila Meã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ANA
0 - 1
VAR
18%
28%
55%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
FAF
80%
15%
5%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
VAR
28%
28%
44%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 1
TIR
78%
17%
6%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BOA
0 - 3
VAR
68%
21%
11%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Meã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 2
VIL
15%
19%
65%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 1
CAM
47%
22%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
SMP
60%
19%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAM
86%
10%
5%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 1
VIL
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |