Varzim vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
VST
2 - 1
VAR
73%
16%
11%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
VAR
3 - 2
SPB
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
SCP
1 - 1
VAR
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
VAR
4 - 1
BOA
69%
19%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
FAB
1 - 1
VAR
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
UFT
3 - 0
FCP
19%
24%
57%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
FCB
3 - 0
UFT
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
LEX
1 - 0
UFT
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
UFT
1 - 2
VST
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
UFT
1 - 1
SPB
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |