Varzim vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
VAR
2 - 2
LEX
52%
26%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
SAN
1 - 2
VAR
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
VAR
1 - 1
VST
22%
28%
51%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
SPB
1 - 0
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
VAR
1 - 1
BEL
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
FCP
2 - 2
UFT
80%
13%
8%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
UFT
2 - 0
LEX
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
ACA
4 - 0
UFT
70%
17%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
UFT
3 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
10%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
FAB
2 - 0
UFT
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |