Varzim vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 0
SCP
19%
27%
55%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
BOA
0 - 1
VAR
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 1
VST
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 1
ACA
64%
23%
13%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
MAR
1 - 0
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |