Varzim vs UD Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
30.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SPC
0 - 0
VAR
47%
26%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
VAR
4 - 1
ADS
11%
17%
72%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
VAR
2 - 2
LUS
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 1
VAR
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
SPB
5 - 1
VAR
84%
12%
4%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
RIO
6 - 1
OLI
75%
17%
9%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 1
MAF
51%
23%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 1
MOR
25%
23%
53%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 0
TON
35%
24%
41%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
RDA
0 - 1
OLI
14%
22%
65%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |