Varzim vs UD Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
15%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
OLH
1 - 0
VAR
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 0
AVE
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
BOA
2 - 0
VAR
60%
24%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 0
POR
48%
28%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
VIZ
1 - 1
VAR
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 0
VIZ
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SPC
3 - 2
OLI
67%
20%
12%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 2
EST
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
GFC
1 - 1
OLI
77%
16%
7%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
GON
0 - 0
OLI
63%
23%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |