Varzim vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
6º
3º
20
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 1
VAR
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 1
FAF
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 0
VIA
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
VAR
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FEL
2 - 0
VAR
40%
27%
34%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 1
VIA
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 0
BRA
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 0
FEL
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 2
TRO
18%
25%
57%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ANA
3 - 3
TRO
21%
26%
53%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |