Varzim vs Torreense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
VAR
2 - 0
FCP
17%
21%
62%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
SLB
5 - 0
VAR
95%
4%
1%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
VAR
0 - 1
BEL
39%
25%
36%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
SPB
1 - 1
VAR
55%
22%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
VAR
0 - 2
ACA
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
LEX
3 - 0
TOR
73%
16%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
TOR
1 - 2
FCP
14%
22%
65%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
SCP
4 - 0
TOR
85%
11%
5%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
TOR
1 - 3
SLB
10%
18%
72%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
LGC
6 - 0
TOR
63%
20%
16%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |