Varzim vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
54%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
FAB
2 - 0
VAR
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1966 |
LEX
2 - 0
VAR
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 0
VIT
41%
24%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
BMA
2 - 4
VAR
47%
24%
30%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
VAR
0 - 0
BEL
51%
24%
24%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
SCP
0 - 1
LEX
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1966 |
VIT
2 - 1
SCP
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
SCP
2 - 0
BMA
85%
10%
5%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
BEL
1 - 1
SCP
31%
27%
43%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
SCP
1 - 1
VST
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |