Varzim vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
59%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
LGC
2 - 0
VAR
44%
24%
33%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
VAR
2 - 0
VIT
41%
24%
35%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 0
FCP
22%
22%
55%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
FAB
0 - 2
VAR
64%
20%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 2
ACA
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
SCP
4 - 0
FCP
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1966 |
FCP
0 - 2
SCP
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
FCP
1 - 0
SCP
52%
23%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
SCP
1 - 0
FCP
64%
19%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
FAB
0 - 0
SCP
32%
25%
44%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |