Varzim vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
63.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
LGC
0 - 1
VAR
48%
24%
29%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIT
41%
24%
35%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
SEI
1 - 2
VAR
58%
21%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
VAR
2 - 1
FAB
50%
21%
29%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
FAB
5 - 2
VAR
70%
15%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 1
FCP
56%
22%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
SLB
3 - 0
SCP
70%
16%
15%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 0
BEL
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1964 |
VST
1 - 0
SCP
27%
23%
51%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 0
MTK
81%
11%
8%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |