Taça de Portugal 1/32
Global 1-2
Varzim vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
ACA
3 - 0
VAR
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
VAR
1 - 0
IMO
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
VAR
1 - 1
LEC
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
PEN
0 - 2
VAR
58%
23%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
VAR
2 - 2
BMA
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
SCF
0 - 2
SPC
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
SPC
1 - 1
NAV
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
MAI
1 - 0
SPC
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
SPC
1 - 1
UNI
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
CHA
2 - 0
SPC
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |