Varzim vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
ACA
5 - 1
VAR
65%
19%
16%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
VAR
2 - 3
FAB
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
LEX
3 - 0
VAR
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
VAR
3 - 1
SCP
16%
20%
64%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
LGC
0 - 1
VAR
48%
24%
29%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
SPB
2 - 0
FCP
23%
23%
54%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
SLB
7 - 0
SPB
91%
7%
3%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
SPB
1 - 2
BEL
42%
26%
31%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
SPB
4 - 0
TOR
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
ACA
2 - 1
SPB
64%
20%
17%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |