Varzim vs Sertanense analysis


57	ELO	43
-7%	Tilt	-2.2%
4618º	General ELO ranking	6124º
70º	Country ELO ranking	107º
ELO win probability

65.8%

Varzim

19.5%

Draw

14.7%

Sertanense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

65.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%

19.5%

Draw

0-0

4.8%

1-1

9.2%

2-2

4.4%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

0

19.5%

14.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-2%

-7%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches