Varzim vs Portimonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
24.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
VIZ
1 - 1
VAR
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 1
SPC
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
VAR
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
VAR
2 - 3
GFC
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
GON
2 - 1
VAR
44%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
SCF
0 - 0
POR
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
POR
2 - 2
VIZ
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
BMA
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SPC
4 - 1
POR
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
NAV
3 - 0
POR
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |