Varzim vs Portimonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
VIZ
0 - 1
VAR
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
VAR
1 - 0
OLH
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
GON
0 - 1
VAR
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
VAR
2 - 1
VIT
36%
30%
35%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
RIO
0 - 0
VAR
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
POR
0 - 0
FEI
33%
27%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
VIZ
1 - 0
POR
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
POR
1 - 4
LEX
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
OLH
1 - 4
POR
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
POR
0 - 1
SAN
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -2 |