Varzim vs Portimonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 0
VAR
6%
15%
79%
|
64 | 11 | 53 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
FEI
0 - 1
VAR
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 0
NAV
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
SPC
0 - 1
VAR
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
VAR
2 - 1
SAL
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
POR
1 - 1
ADN
85%
11%
4%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
POR
1 - 0
PEN
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
POR
3 - 0
SAN
40%
26%
35%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
FEI
1 - 1
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
POR
1 - 1
NAV
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |