Varzim vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
VAR
1 - 0
LOU
79%
16%
5%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
VAR
1 - 3
FAR
36%
29%
35%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
FEI
1 - 2
VAR
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
VAR
2 - 1
ACA
46%
29%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
VAR
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 0
FEI
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 1
BEN
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
SPC
0 - 0
PEN
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 0
ACA
47%
28%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 2
GFC
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -2 |