Varzim vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
39.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
VAR
0 - 3
GFC
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 0
SPC
39%
29%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
POR
3 - 2
VAR
65%
21%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 1
FAT
41%
29%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 2
VAR
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
SCF
1 - 3
PEN
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 1
TRO
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
BMA
1 - 2
PEN
58%
24%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 0
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
VAR
2 - 2
PEN
36%
29%
36%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |