Varzim vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
35.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
AVE
2 - 0
VAR
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
VAR
0 - 1
TRO
31%
29%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
BMA
3 - 0
VAR
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
VAR
2 - 1
GFC
33%
30%
37%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 1
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 0
CHA
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 0
PEN
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 1
FAT
50%
28%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 3
PEN
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 1
FEI
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |