Varzim vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
LEX
1 - 1
VAR
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 0
UNM
64%
21%
14%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
CHA
0 - 1
VAR
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
VAR
39%
27%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 1
PEN
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
FCP
3 - 1
PAÇ
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
BEL
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ACA
3 - 2
PAÇ
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
VIT
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
SLB
2 - 1
PAÇ
74%
18%
8%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |