Varzim vs Ovarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
LEX
1 - 1
VAR
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 0
AVE
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
FCM
3 - 0
VAR
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
VAR
3 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
CHA
0 - 0
VAR
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
AVE
3 - 0
OVA
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
OVA
1 - 0
SAN
57%
23%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
OVA
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
OVA
4 - 1
FEI
54%
23%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
NAV
1 - 2
OVA
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |