Varzim vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
ESP
1 - 2
VAR
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
VAR
1 - 1
EST
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
GON
3 - 1
VAR
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
VAR
2 - 0
POR
50%
25%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
OLH
1 - 2
VAR
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
NAV
1 - 0
EST
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
POR
1 - 6
NAV
36%
28%
37%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
NAV
0 - 0
MAI
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
LEX
1 - 2
NAV
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
NAV
2 - 1
FCM
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |