Varzim vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
SPC
0 - 1
VAR
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
VAR
2 - 1
SAL
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
FEL
1 - 0
VAR
27%
25%
47%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 0
EST
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
AVE
0 - 3
VAR
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
NAV
1 - 0
PEN
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
POR
1 - 1
NAV
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
NAV
3 - 0
FEI
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
NAV
2 - 2
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
SPC
0 - 2
NAV
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |