Varzim vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
PAÇ
3 - 1
VAR
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
SAL
2 - 1
VAR
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
VAR
0 - 1
MAR
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
BOA
1 - 2
VAR
75%
18%
7%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
VAR
1 - 3
SCP
14%
21%
65%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
MOR
1 - 2
BMA
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
EST
1 - 3
MOR
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
MOR
5 - 1
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
ACA
1 - 0
MOR
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 0
AVE
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |