Varzim vs Montijo CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
VST
7 - 1
VAR
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
VAR
1 - 1
BMA
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
SCP
1 - 0
VAR
89%
8%
3%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
ATL
0 - 1
VAR
57%
21%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
LEX
5 - 0
VAR
50%
27%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Montijo CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
BMA
4 - 1
CDM
51%
23%
26%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
CDM
1 - 0
LEX
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
BEL
3 - 0
CDM
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
CDM
1 - 0
LEX
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
BOA
4 - 0
CDM
59%
22%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |