Varzim vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
VAR
0 - 0
SCP
20%
26%
54%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1980 |
VAR
2 - 1
CIN
76%
14%
10%
|
64 | 13 | 51 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
CIN
0 - 0
VAR
32%
25%
43%
|
64 | 12 | 52 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
BEL
5 - 1
VAR
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
VAR
0 - 0
EST
61%
23%
15%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
MAR
1 - 0
RIO
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
MAR
2 - 0
MAR
73%
15%
12%
|
64 | 10 | 54 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
SCP
4 - 1
MAR
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1980 |
MAR
3 - 1
EST
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
MAR
2 - 0
VST
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |