Varzim vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
COV
1 - 2
VAR
29%
29%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
VAR
3 - 0
EST
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LEX
1 - 0
VAR
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 2
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
OLI
4 - 0
VAR
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MAF
1 - 0
PEN
50%
25%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ACA
0 - 0
MAF
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
MAF
1 - 1
NAC
30%
25%
45%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
MAF
1 - 0
CHA
39%
27%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
COV
1 - 1
MAF
23%
27%
50%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |