Varzim vs Lousada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 4
VAR
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 2
OSL
68%
21%
12%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
VAR
32%
30%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
FAM
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 2
VAR
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lousada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LOU
0 - 2
MIR
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 0
CAM
39%
25%
35%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
OSL
2 - 0
LOU
59%
22%
18%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LOU
1 - 2
CHA
24%
26%
50%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FAM
0 - 1
LOU
75%
17%
8%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | +2 |