Taça de Portugal 1/32
Global 3-5
Varzim vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
VAR
0 - 0
SPB
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
VIT
4 - 0
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
VAR
2 - 0
FAR
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
GFC
1 - 0
VAR
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
VAR
2 - 0
UDL
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2000 |
SCP
4 - 1
LEX
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
ACA
1 - 2
LEX
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
FEL
2 - 1
LEX
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1992 |
LEX
0 - 2
FCP
15%
24%
61%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1992 |
LEX
1 - 0
PEN
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |