Varzim vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
SCP
3 - 2
VAR
86%
9%
5%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
VAR
0 - 1
LGC
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
VIT
7 - 1
VAR
71%
17%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
VAR
6 - 0
SEI
66%
19%
16%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
VAR
4 - 1
VST
48%
25%
28%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
LEX
1 - 3
FCP
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
SLB
5 - 0
LEX
87%
8%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
LEX
3 - 0
BEL
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
SPB
1 - 1
LEX
54%
23%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
ACA
5 - 3
LEX
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |