Varzim vs Infesta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 1
MIR
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FAF
1 - 0
VAR
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 1
RIB
68%
21%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
OSL
0 - 0
VAR
25%
27%
48%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
MIR
62%
24%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Infesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
INF
2 - 3
TIR
16%
23%
62%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
INF
0 - 1
CHA
18%
24%
58%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FAF
2 - 1
INF
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
INF
1 - 0
RIB
18%
24%
58%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +4 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
OSL
2 - 1
INF
69%
19%
12%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |