Varzim vs Gondomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
BOA
1 - 1
VAR
38%
28%
35%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 0
AMA
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 0
CHA
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TIR
2 - 1
VAR
46%
28%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
INF
76%
17%
7%
|
58 | 29 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
GON
0 - 0
TIR
29%
27%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
INF
1 - 4
GON
20%
25%
56%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GON
0 - 0
FAF
37%
27%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 0
GON
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
GON
0 - 0
OSL
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |