Varzim vs Gondomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
POR
0 - 0
VAR
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
VAR
0 - 1
OLH
41%
26%
34%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
MAI
3 - 0
VAR
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
VAR
2 - 0
OVA
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
LEX
1 - 1
VAR
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
OLH
1 - 1
GON
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
GON
0 - 2
OVA
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 0
GON
63%
22%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
GON
1 - 1
SAN
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
GON
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |