Varzim vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
49.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 2
VAR
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 0
ARO
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FEI
2 - 1
VAR
63%
23%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 1
LEX
28%
29%
44%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
VAR
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
GFC
1 - 1
BEL
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 4
GFC
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GFC
2 - 1
MOR
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GFC
3 - 0
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SPC
2 - 1
GFC
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |