Varzim vs Feirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
40.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
LEX
3 - 4
VAR
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
VAR
0 - 0
SAN
25%
28%
47%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
EST
0 - 0
VAR
63%
23%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 1
AVE
35%
29%
37%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SCF
0 - 0
VAR
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
RIO
3 - 0
FEI
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
FEI
2 - 3
OLI
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 2
FEI
51%
26%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
FEI
0 - 1
GFC
43%
29%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 3
FEI
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |