Varzim vs Feirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
VAR
3 - 0
ALV
47%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
NAV
2 - 1
VAR
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 2
ESP
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
EST
2 - 1
VAR
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
VAR
2 - 2
GON
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
NAV
4 - 2
FEI
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
FEI
1 - 1
EST
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
POR
2 - 0
FEI
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
FEI
2 - 1
MAI
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
LEX
3 - 1
FEI
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |